robert kraft granddaughter. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. All. [00:00:19] What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. It's a busy week! The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. 9 days ago. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. FiveThirtyEight On The Road - Splash Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia It's a big election week for liberal democracies. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. By May 21, 2021 0 . As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Thanks! fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Find us at ThisDayPod.com. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Video What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. You can't imitate a worldview. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) - FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. This is the second episode. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". FiveThirtyEight Politics on Stitcher Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. police- settlements. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. June 2, 2016. Today those numbers have flipped. FiveThirtyEight Media Bias | AllSides The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. Instagram did not return a 200. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. Transcripts by Erin Wade. FiveThirtyEight Politics - Listen to All Episodes | News - TuneIn They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. . 2022 Midterms LIVE (Audio Replay POD) - The Heartland POD (podcast They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. No place like 'Nam. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre

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